OK, I don't play Fantasy Football anymore and this is exactly why I have become good at it. The last two years I posted my picks for sleepers, overachievers and underachievers and I've been approximately 90% on the money.
So I'll keep it simple this year. With my top choice (1 pick at each position), my solid pick (3-5 rounder), my sleeper (6+ who will be a stud) and my bust (anyone in top five who will have a bad year or get hurt).
Quarterback:
TC: Peyton Manning is definitely the top choice. There is no reason to think he will not be the best player in the game once again.
Solid: Andrew Luck could go top two if the league is pass friendly.
Sleeper: Tom Brady is not your regular sleeper, but with an average running game and a strong defense, the Pats should get a lot of short drives, which means increased touchdowns.
Bust: Tony Romo is a fantasy superstar and this year he has the OL Cowboys forget he had a few years ago. Won't matter, he's on the decline and with an awful defense, he'll be playing catch-up, which he's statistically (unless you're a Cowboy fan), not very good at.
Running Back
TC: Eddie Lacy is a surprise pick, but I'd pick him #1 overall in run heavy leagues. Three of the top six guys are injury risks and two are old. Lacy is a young stud and will flourish with an entire season playing with Rodgers.
Solid: Andre Ellington might be the next big thing. He only had 118 carries last year and if he doubled all his stats from last year, he'd have been 14th in carries....and 3rd in yards. I predict a 1000+ yard, 8 td season.
Sleeper: Marki Ingram isn't going to win you your league, but as a fourth RB, he might be able to help quite a bit.
Bust: Ray Rice. This is me partially hoping the piece of shit is a bust and me also thinking the pressure of away games, will be too much for him. He's a weak-minded person and it will take it's toll, especially if Pierce performs.
Wide Receiver:
TC: There is Calvin Johnson and there is everyone else and it isn't even close.
Solid: Jordy Nelson is probably a top round guy, but with the injuries to other Packers, he's suffered. This year, he should be good for 100 catches and 10 touchdowns.
Sleeper: Cordarelle Patterson isn't a sleeper on most drafts anymore, but he's not going to be a top five round guy. He may even be one of the guys taken in the last 5-6 rounds in 10 team leagues.
Bust: Tavon Austin and it's not his fault. He was all set to have a breakout year and those who drafted already probably took him higher than 7th or 8th, but Bradford's injury spells doom for his season.
Tight End:
TC: Jimmy Graham is a WR. We all know it and he knows it.
Solid: Romo panics more than any quarterback in the league, so Witten is always a safe pick.
Sleeper: Martellus Bennett will be one of the three or four best TE in the game this year. 80 catches, 1000 yards and 10 TDs.
Bust: Jordan Reed isn't expected to blow the doors off the season, but a nagging thumb injury could spell doom. That coupled with QB problems in Washington, makes this a bad pick.
So I'll keep it simple this year. With my top choice (1 pick at each position), my solid pick (3-5 rounder), my sleeper (6+ who will be a stud) and my bust (anyone in top five who will have a bad year or get hurt).
Quarterback:
TC: Peyton Manning is definitely the top choice. There is no reason to think he will not be the best player in the game once again.
Solid: Andrew Luck could go top two if the league is pass friendly.
Sleeper: Tom Brady is not your regular sleeper, but with an average running game and a strong defense, the Pats should get a lot of short drives, which means increased touchdowns.
Bust: Tony Romo is a fantasy superstar and this year he has the OL Cowboys forget he had a few years ago. Won't matter, he's on the decline and with an awful defense, he'll be playing catch-up, which he's statistically (unless you're a Cowboy fan), not very good at.
Running Back
TC: Eddie Lacy is a surprise pick, but I'd pick him #1 overall in run heavy leagues. Three of the top six guys are injury risks and two are old. Lacy is a young stud and will flourish with an entire season playing with Rodgers.
Solid: Andre Ellington might be the next big thing. He only had 118 carries last year and if he doubled all his stats from last year, he'd have been 14th in carries....and 3rd in yards. I predict a 1000+ yard, 8 td season.
Sleeper: Marki Ingram isn't going to win you your league, but as a fourth RB, he might be able to help quite a bit.
Bust: Ray Rice. This is me partially hoping the piece of shit is a bust and me also thinking the pressure of away games, will be too much for him. He's a weak-minded person and it will take it's toll, especially if Pierce performs.
Wide Receiver:
TC: There is Calvin Johnson and there is everyone else and it isn't even close.
Solid: Jordy Nelson is probably a top round guy, but with the injuries to other Packers, he's suffered. This year, he should be good for 100 catches and 10 touchdowns.
Sleeper: Cordarelle Patterson isn't a sleeper on most drafts anymore, but he's not going to be a top five round guy. He may even be one of the guys taken in the last 5-6 rounds in 10 team leagues.
Bust: Tavon Austin and it's not his fault. He was all set to have a breakout year and those who drafted already probably took him higher than 7th or 8th, but Bradford's injury spells doom for his season.
Tight End:
TC: Jimmy Graham is a WR. We all know it and he knows it.
Solid: Romo panics more than any quarterback in the league, so Witten is always a safe pick.
Sleeper: Martellus Bennett will be one of the three or four best TE in the game this year. 80 catches, 1000 yards and 10 TDs.
Bust: Jordan Reed isn't expected to blow the doors off the season, but a nagging thumb injury could spell doom. That coupled with QB problems in Washington, makes this a bad pick.
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